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🎯 Quick Fire: The Future of Commerce

40 Predictions That Just Might Shape How We Buy and Sell

Retailer Roadmap for the Next Decade

Commerce is undergoing a major transformation driven by rapidly advancing technology, shifting consumer behaviors, and evolving expectations.

Today’s shoppers demand more convenience, personalization, and alignment with their values, pushing businesses to rethink traditional models. At the heart of this change is AI, which is reshaping how we shop by making experiences smarter, faster, and more tailored. From automating everyday purchases to creating personalized recommendations, AI is driving the future of commerce while consumers embrace new ways to connect with brands that are socially and environmentally responsible. This shift is not just about buying products—it’s about creating meaningful experiences.

Top 10 Predictions and the Future of Commerce

I read Greg Isenberg’s list of predictions re: the future of commerce and picked out my top 10 for Sunshine entrepreneurs to begin working on right away. These are all practical and scalable, offering local retailers easy, innovative ways to drive engagement, sales, and community connection!

1. AI Agents as Personal Shoppers

If you haven’t used Amazon’s Rufus yet, you’re in for delightful surprise. Unless of course you’re a valley retailer, in which case you better partner up with your fellow retailers and figure out how to develop AI-powered Personal Shopping Agents! Amazon is going to eat everyone’s lunch again with Rufus, so we better get moving on this. Maybe we can begin with simple AI Agents that manage the first 80% of the customer journey with a last-mile handoff to a local human.

2. Second-Hand as First Choice

Palm Springs and certain parts of the valley are already known for their vintage and thrift culture, and making second-hand shopping a first choice ties into the growing sustainability movement. As more people become eco-conscious, promoting second-hand goods not only benefits the environment but also taps into a market that values uniqueness and nostalgia—elements Palm Springs Coachella is famous for. I love this recycle/upcycle trend and am working on a concept myself. Stay tuned.

3. Ephemeral Stores

Temporary pop-up shops tied to events and festivals create urgency and exclusivity, which naturally drive sales. Palm Springs Coachella, with its packed event calendar and tourist influx, is the perfect place for these limited-time retail experiences that can showcase local artisans, chefs, and businesses. Basically Instagram Stories or Reels come to life and the TikTok generation flexing its influence.

4. Content-Driven Retailers

Brands are increasingly becoming media companies, using storytelling to sell. For local businesses in Palm Springs Coachella, creating engaging content that showcases not just products, but the lifestyle of the Valley, is key. Whether through video, blogs, or social media, businesses can tap into the Coachella Valley allure and use it to drive sales organically.

Reach out if want to get started on your own media brand but don’t have the time and wish to make the most of a collective, community effort.

5. Live Commerce

Local businesses host live shopping events on social media platforms like Instagram or TikTok, where customers can purchase in real-time. We already draw attention for our events and community vibe. Local entrepreneurs can bring this energy online with live commerce, where products are sold in real-time through social platforms. And keep in mind, we were the home to this QVC 2.0 with Guthy-Renker and Thane Media back in the day. Surely, that DNA is still around.

6. Hyper-Personalized Pricing

Pricing based on personal preferences or shopping habits can create a sense of exclusivity and fair value. For visitors and residents alike, dynamic pricing can cater to the highs and lows of seasonal demand or even day-part traffic. I actually think dynamic pricing is gonna slowly creep into everywhere we shop, we just may not notice it at all.

7. Silent Drops - Don’t Announce Anything

Local artists, creators, or businesses can launch "secret" product drops with no prior announcement, creating surprise and exclusivity. This could work well for limited-edition products or signature services. I also think that this would better scale if retailers joined together under an umbrella brand to manage the messaging and marketing across channels and outlets. Hello Sunshine!

8. Make Shopping Fun Gain

Gamification taps into people’s desire for rewards and fun. By making shopping feel like a game—where purchases earn points, unlock perks, or result in tangible rewards—local businesses can increase customer loyalty. The fact is most consumers only use one or two loyalty programs with the rest just going to spam. Having worked in the casual/mobile gaming industry, there are so many other fun elements to gamification and IRL loyalty, and most retailers just constantly miss the mark. Loyalty 2.0 is still one to watch and to get right.

9. SMS as a Goldmine

The key to using SMS marketing is to communicate in a personal, conversational way, rather than pushy sales messages. Think of it as texting a friend with exclusive local deals or events. Add in WhatsApp and Facebook Messaging, and if done right, DM’ing your community could unlock hidden treasures and uncover valuable insights.

10. Post-Purchase Experiences

In a luxury destination like ours, the shopping experience shouldn’t end at the sale. Elevating the post-purchase moment, whether through creative packaging or thoughtful follow-up communication, creates a lasting impression. This is perfect for businesses selling to high-end clientele who value attention to detail. Think unboxing and hauling videos incentivized by retailer perks and rewards.

Sunshine Bonus: Social Proof Incentivization

Encourage customers to invite friends to buy local products and reward them with discounts, perks & rewards. The more friends who own a product or visit a business, the better the deals for everyone. A simple referral system could be added to websites or apps to make this work.

Social Proof Incentivization could be powered by modern tech like AI, blockchain, and social media to create a seamless, dynamic shopping experience. AI analyzes your network and automatically applies discounts when your friends purchase the same product. Blockchain ensures transparency, making it easy to track and verify purchases. Social media integration allows businesses to offer discounts when customers share products or get engagement from friends. QR codes and digital wallets simplify the redemption process, while smart contracts automate discounts once certain thresholds are met. This approach combines community-driven shopping with cutting-edge tech, boosting engagement and sales.

We’ll unpack this in a little more detail in a future newsletter!

Here’s a bullet-pointed version of Greg's list for quick reference:

  • AI personal shoppers will be everywhere, learning your style and preferences across stores.

  • AI will haggle for you, negotiating deals with multiple stores simultaneously.

  • “Buy now, receive later” will let you lock in future gifts at today’s prices.

  • Holographic stores will appear anywhere via smartphones, turning any space into a virtual showroom.

  • Pricing will get personalized, offering fair, individualized deals at different times.

  • Ephemeral stores will create urgency with limited-time, pop-up shops.

  • Human customer service will become a luxury, used by brands as a premium offering.

  • Niche stores will thrive in Amazon’s shadow, specializing in specific, unique products.

  • Every storefront will adapt to you like Spotify’s personalized playlists, offering tailored shopping experiences.

  • Shopping will feel like gaming, with points and rewards making mundane purchases fun.

  • Community will trump discounts, building loyal followings where belonging matters more than saving money.

  • Indie creators will reshape e-commerce, running circles around VC-backed startups with fresh ideas.

  • Customers will become co-creators, driving product development and ensuring demand.

  • Content will be the new storefront, with brands acting as media companies first.

  • Creators will become big-box retailers, selling a wide range of products via YouTube and TikTok.

  • Post-purchase experiences will be key, with unboxing and delivery as important as the product itself.

  • SMS will be a goldmine when used right, with brands texting like considerate friends.

  • Shopping online will feel like exploring a 3D space, similar to Google Maps but for products.

  • Boring marketing will outperform flashy campaigns, with AI-optimized email flows and SEO.

  • Creators will be the new product curators, trusted more than algorithms for recommendations.

  • Mood-based shopping will be the new impulse buy, with products recommended based on emotions.

  • Second-hand shopping will become the first choice as sustainability becomes non-negotiable.

  • In-house creators will be the most valuable marketing asset for brands.

  • Live commerce will become a major channel, with real-time shopping during live-streamed shows.

  • Auctions and flash sales will turn shopping into competitive, high-stakes experiences.

  • Brands will sell lifestyles, not just products, making customers feel like part of a movement.

  • Stores will educate first, sell second, with valuable content building trust.

  • Skill-locked commerce will gate purchases behind abilities, turning commerce into a game.

  • AI will design products based on real-time trends, manufacturing items in days.

  • Voice commerce will become second nature, with simple voice commands ordering products.

  • Augmented reality will reduce buyer’s remorse by showing how products look in real-time settings.

  • “Buy with friends” will explode, letting friends vote on purchases in real-time.

  • AI copywriters will A/B test product descriptions in real-time, optimizing pages for each shopper.

  • Hot brands will offer “silent drops” to combat bots, rewarding real fans over scalpers.

  • Your fridge will have its own budget and shopping rights, restocking itself automatically.

  • Brands will offer social-proof discounts, making products cheaper based on friend ownership.

  • Viral warranties will extend as you share more about a product on social media.

  • Brands will sell decision rights for future products, letting consumers shape designs.

The Bottom Line 💯

As Greg states, some of these predictions might materialize next month. Others might never see the light of day. That’s the nature of looking ahead - we’re all just making educated guesses.

But one thing is for certain. The future of commerce is being written right now. These ideas can help our community begin innovating today while supporting local businesses and creating more engaging experiences for residents and visitors alike. 🎉🤖💰

Sunshine Take:

"The future of commerce isn't just about what we buy, but how technology and community blend to transform everyday shopping into unforgettable experiences."

SatAI

For the full scoop, check out Greg at gregisenberg.

Let me know in the comments — as commerce changes, will AI help make things better for retailers or just push shoppers to Amazon and TikTok? Can we actually compete with the online giants given the power of AI or is this all just more of the same from Silicon Valley?

Stay tuned to Sunshine.fm for more stories, takes, observations, learnings and the latest AI news and updates. And remember, human creativity is irreplaceable—even if a robot tries to tell you otherwise! 🧐

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